Thursday, 1 August 2013

Skills For Generating Effective Scenarios

It has been interesting to read some of the skills that might be required to get an effective scenario set off the ground.
Here are my top 3:
  1. Ability to imagine and dream...because that is often not bred for in some of our large institutions. There may not be enough of those people around.
  2. Ability to accurately reflect/record the  ideas and views of a wide range of contributors... without anyone perceiving that their idea is lost, being comprehensive but not repetitive, attention to the detail.
  3. Ability to undertake appropriate research... both to identify the key driving factors and to keep the scenarios sufficiently sophisticated.


Freely available web resources to justify my thinking:
 http://vimeo.com/16756729
Oliver Freeman talks about scenario planning and reminds us of all the aspects of the process that are necessary.

 http://thinkingfutures.net/resources/scenario-planning/
provides links to other useful sites, contains good diagrams of the process, includes a Higher Education link,has a nice creative commons licence.

http://samiconsulting.wordpress.com/2012/07/04/why-scenarios-are-so-useful-in-dealing-with-uncertainty/
a UK futures thinking and strategy planning blog,  many good links.

O'Connor, S. (2012), "Scenario planning for libraries", in Law, D. (ed.), Libraries in a Digital Age: Fundamentals and latest thinking, The Marketing & Management Collection, Henry Stewart Talks Ltd, London (online at http://hstalks.com/?t=MM1523247)
Because I used to be a librarian, I just had to add this. It is a quite long audio file and some of it is not completely relevant, but it is carefully prepared and comes with its own set of handout slides as a PDF. Contains a good quote about change from Barak Obama but I cannot find the original source of that quote (Time Now 2008)  freely available as required for this post.


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