Here are my top 3:
- Ability to imagine and dream...because that is often not bred for in some of our large institutions. There may not be enough of those people around.
- Ability to accurately reflect/record the ideas and views of a wide range of contributors... without anyone perceiving that their idea is lost, being comprehensive but not repetitive, attention to the detail.
- Ability to undertake appropriate research... both to identify the key driving factors and to keep the scenarios sufficiently sophisticated.
Freely available web resources to justify my thinking:
http://vimeo.com/16756729
Oliver Freeman talks about scenario planning and reminds us of all the aspects of the process that are necessary.
http://thinkingfutures.net/resources/scenario-planning/
provides links to other useful sites, contains good diagrams of the process, includes a Higher Education link,has a nice creative commons licence.
http://samiconsulting.wordpress.com/2012/07/04/why-scenarios-are-so-useful-in-dealing-with-uncertainty/
a UK futures thinking and strategy planning blog, many good links.
O'Connor, S. (2012), "Scenario planning for libraries", in Law, D. (ed.), Libraries in a Digital Age: Fundamentals and latest thinking, The Marketing & Management Collection, Henry Stewart Talks Ltd, London (online at http://hstalks.com/?t=MM1523247)
Because I used to be a librarian, I just had to add this. It is a quite long audio file and some of it is not completely relevant, but it is carefully prepared and comes with its own set of handout slides as a PDF. Contains a good quote about change from Barak Obama but I cannot find the original source of that quote (Time Now 2008) freely available as required for this post.
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